The terminal phase — HIT, MISS, and what accuracy is worth
A real weapon aimed at a real installation, one warhead at a time, with the miss drawn from the same circular error the accuracy lab integrates. A city fails at five pounds per square inch and a silo at two thousand, and the same weapon does both.
The single-shot kill probability is not a property of a weapon; it is what happens when you keep firing. This is the keeping firing.